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Pepperstone ATP Live Rankings Projection

Djokovic's stranglehold on World No. 1, Sinner's path to No. 2

Pepperstone ATP Live Rankings projection following the Australian Open
January 31, 2024
Novak Djokovic has spent a record 410 weeks at No. 1 in the Pepperstone ATP Rankings.
Peter Staples/ATP Tour
Novak Djokovic has spent a record 410 weeks at No. 1 in the Pepperstone ATP Rankings. By ATP Staff

Despite losing in the semi-finals of the Australian Open, Novak Djokovic still has a stranglehold on the No. 1 Pepperstone ATP Ranking, while champion Jannik Sinner has a chance to make a charge for World No. 2 in the coming months.

Through Miami at the end of March, Djokovic will only need to defend 180 points from Dubai, where last year he reached the semi-finals. The 36-year-old did not compete in Indian Wells or Miami in 2023 and has a big opportunity to gain points.

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The three players directly below Djokovic — Carlos Alcaraz, Daniil Medvedev and Sinner — will all be defending a significant number of points in the next two months. World No. 3 and Australian Open finalist Medvedev has the most of the group to defend, with 2,850 points. The 27-year-old went through a stretch last year during which he won titles in Rotterdam, Doha, Dubai and Miami, while also reaching the Indian Wells final.

Pepperstone ATP Live Rankings

 Player  Points  Points Defending Through Miami
 1) Novak Djokovic  9,855  180
 2) Carlos Alcaraz  9,255  1,910
 3) Daniil Medvedev  8,765  2,850
 4) Jannik Sinner  8,310  1,510

If you remove all the points that will drop for the quartet through March, Sinner will trail World No. 2 Alcaraz by just 545 points, giving the Italian an opening to maintain his momentum from the past six months. The 22-year-old won ATP 500 titles in Beijing and Vienna before making the championship match at the Nitto ATP Finals.

He hit his highest note yet Sunday when he earned Grand Slam glory at Melbourne Park. Sinner has won 20 of his past 21 matches.

The Top 4 players in the Pepperstone ATP Rankings have separated themselves from the pack. Djokovic, Alcaraz, Medvedev and Sinner are all within 1,545 points, with no player within 3,000 points of them. World No. 5 Andrey Rublev has 5,050 points and World No. 6 Alexander Zverev has 5,030 points.

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Djokovic has held World No. 1 for a record 410 weeks, 100 more than any other player in Pepperstone ATP Rankings history (since 1973). Roger Federer was in top spot for 310 weeks in his career.

Alcaraz and Medvedev have also earned World No. 1, while Sinner is at a career-high World No. 4.

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